August 21, 2006


I'll have more here soon, I promise. Not everything is going up over at Sully's. I'm dealing with logistics again. Just one of those things that has to be done if you want the good stuff. Tomorrow I get to spend some quality time at the Ministry of Bureaucracy.

I'm also in the middle of writing a longish piece that -- sorry! -- doesn't have any bangbang in it. Not everything explodes all the time (thank God).

In the meantime, I'll be running an Armageddon Watch here. It's August 22 in the Middle East now, when the Zionist Entity is scheduled to be erased...

Posted by Michael J. Totten at August 21, 2006 03:28 PM

Lately I've been thinking that in order to forstall Armageddon indefinately, the US should make a very public gift of a few of our ICBM equiped submarines to Israel. No one is going to attack Israel if she has non-degradable ability to retaliate with H-bombs.

Posted by: Josh Scholar at August 21, 2006 07:55 PM

It's now 6:37 AM in Tehran as of this comment. (1:37 AM in eastern Canada). If the world ends, I hope it's after breakfast.

Posted by: Paul MacPhail at August 21, 2006 09:10 PM

It's a good breakfast then?

Posted by: Josh Scholar at August 21, 2006 09:31 PM

Two points:

1) Anyone who tosses a nuke in Israel's direction had best have their affairs in order and be ready to meet the almighty, because they'll be seeing him very soon.

Every head of state in the middle east is aware of this. Ahminejad may be a nutcase, but I don't think he's a suicidal nutcase.

It is generally agreed that these submarines are outfitted with six 533-millimeter torpedo tubes suitable for the 21-inch torpedoes that are normally used on most submarines, including those of the United States. Some reports suggest that the submarines have a total of ten torpedo tubes -- six 533-millimeter and four 650-millimeter. Uniquely, the Soviet navy deployed the Type 65 heavy-weight torpedo using a 650-millimeter tube. The four larger 25.5 inch diameter torpedo tubes could be used to launch a long-range nuclear-capable submarine-launched cruise missile (SLCM). According to some reports the submarines may be capable of carrying nuclear-armed Popeye Turbo cruise missiles, with a goal of deterring an enemy from trying to take out its nuclear weapons with a surprise attack. Under a system of rotation, two of the vessels would remain at sea: one in the Red Sea and Persian Gulf, the other in the Mediterranean. A third would remain on standby.

What is likely to happen is a refusal to halt enrichment, which may cause Russia and China to change their position on sanctioning Iran.

It doesn't matter much, in the long run. If the US can't get permission to take action from the UNSC, it won't ask.

2) many IHOPs are open 24-hours and serve breakfast all day. There is absolutely no reason to let some apocalyptic fruitcake in the middle east interfere with your enjoyment of a good breakfast.

I recommend the swiss-bacon-mushoom omelet. ;-)

Posted by: rosignol at August 22, 2006 01:57 AM

Iran 'fires on Romanian oil rig'

Posted by: at August 22, 2006 04:12 AM

Hey Michael:

Ahmedinejad is a consummate showman. He won't start the show until everyone is awake to watch it. The latest I hear is that the response will take place at 4pm local, 1230 GMT, 8:30 am EDT -- or about fifteen minutes from now. What's the point of sticking your finger in the eyes of infidels if they're asleep when you do it?

But notice that it's happening at 5:30 am EDT, when most Iranian exiles (who are clustered in Los Angeles) are still asleep. Move when you enemies are asleep...

I don't think Iran will attack today. But when they do, I expect it to be at a time close to 1230 GMT. Maybe exactly three or four years from now.

Posted by: Catfish N. Cod at August 22, 2006 05:18 AM

My analysis is that Moqtada al Nasrallah, Hamas leader in the Gaza strip, and puppet of Iran intends to explode a dirty nuclear anthrax bomb over Tel Aviv using Syrian missle technology.
My advice - invade Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Yemen immediately.

Posted by: Old Glory at August 22, 2006 06:45 AM

Public service message: Don't feed the troll.

Posted by: rosignol at August 22, 2006 07:18 AM


Why don't you list several good places to have breakfast, lunch and dinner in Israel. One day soon I want to visit Israel. What's a good website to locate lodgings for say two to three weeks at a time.

Posted by: stahl-hofer at August 22, 2006 07:59 AM

Well, that was a letdown. Now I'll have to get back to work.
And blowing up a Romanian oil rig? Who knew there were Romanian oil rigs?

Posted by: maor at August 23, 2006 02:58 AM

In addition to what rosignol mentioned, Israel just ordered another 2 Dolphin class submarines. The two new ones are equipped with a more advanced propulsion system which will allow them to stay underwater for a significantly longer period and to stay very quiet.

Posted by: Josh at August 23, 2006 09:18 PM
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