Michael J. Totten: War Against Tourism

July 29, 2005

War Against Tourism

When I first arrived in Beirut in April I wondered if I had made a terrible mistake. For the first time in my life I went to sleep wondering if my hotel would explode in the night. Obviously it did not. And I only worried about it once. After spending a day walking around the city I realized I was probably 1,000 times more likely to be struck by a moving car than a car bomb. (Lebanon is one of those places where stop signs are suggestions and urban speed limits are dictated by physics rather than laws.)

At first I was amazed at how rapidly I adjusted to new dangers in my environment. I was only consciously bothered by the vague new (to me) threat of car bombs for less than 24 hours. But thinking about it in hindsight I shouldn’t have been bothered at all, nor should I have been surprised that I was. I wasn’t afraid of car bombs per se. I was afraid of the Middle East. The fact is, though, that the Middle East looks a lot scarier from a distance than it does up close. The fear I felt during the first 24 hours was the baggage I brought with me from the United States. The reality of Lebanon (which is overwhelmingly friendly and peaceful) went to work on me and put me as ease very quickly.

Far more people were killed in London by terrorists on one single day (July 7) than were killed by terrorists in Lebanon every day for the past 15 years put together. When it comes to terrorist violence only Baghdad can compare to New York City. But I’m not at all afraid to go to New York as a tourist. It wouldn’t even occur to me that I shouldn’t go to London or Madrid. The reason I’m not afraid of those places is because they are Western, not because they are objectively safer. Lebanon is much safer than Britain right now.

Terrorism in the Middle East sure does have its effects, though. Because of the region’s reputation in the West, it takes precious little. My hotel in Beirut was almost completely empty. My four-star hotel room was discounted by 75 percent in a desperate attempt to lure tourists back to the country. I don’t know how much money Lebanon’s tourism industry has lost since Rafik Hariri was killed, but it must be incredible. Empty hotels that charge only 25 percent of their usual rate are just hemorrhaging money.

Targeting a Middle Eastern country’s tourism industry, then, really pays off. The bastards get one hell of a bang for their buck. (Pardon the expression.)

Austin Bay writes about the Islamist war against tourism in Egypt at Tech Central Station:

Call it the terrorists' War on Tourism -- a war waged by jihadists that long predates 9-11, Afghanistan and Iraq.
Last week's terror attacks on Egypt's Sharm el-Sheikh resorts left nearly 90 dead. The attacks also sent an economic and political shockwave throughout the rest of Egypt.

Jihadist terrorists wage a war to create and maintain poverty. In Egypt, damaging the tourist industry does just that. Tourists climbing the Pyramids, sailing on the Nile and sipping coffee in Cairo are a source of very good jobs.

In 1992, the jihadists launched an "insurrection" against the Egyptian government, and the tourist industry was an immediate target. Since 1992, there have been at least 15 major attacks on tourists -- an advertising campaign of high explosive and bullets designed to undermine the Egyptian economy.

For example, in 1993, jihadists targeted Cairo's Tahrir Square, killing a Swede, a Turk and an Egyptian. Eighteen were injured. In 1997, six terrorists massacred 58 foreign tourists (many of them Germans) and four Egyptians in an attack at Luxor's Temple of Hatshepsut. Islamist extremists argue that "pagan" temples desecrate Muslim lands, so if the jihadists ever take power in Egypt, Luxor might be razed. Don't laugh -- the Taliban blew up the Bamiyan Buddhas in Afghanistan.

Here's a sketch of the terrorists' counter-tourism strategy: Attacks on foreign visitors guarantee instant international headlines, especially in the visitors' home nations. All terrorist attacks are designed to sow doubt in the local government's ability to protect lives, property and businesses, but the tourist industry is a very international industry and attacking it is an easy way to discourage international investment.
These attacks also isolate and impoverish individuals who work in tourist industries -- people who tend to be multilingual and aware that "foreigners aren't devils."

After 9/11 we all told ourselves over and over and over again that we’ll hand the terrorists a victory of we let them dictate our behavior. Hundreds of people in my city of Portland all traveled to New York City together to do what little they could to give New York’s economy a shot in the arm. They did it deliberately in defiance of the terrorists. The trip was planned for this reason and this reason only. They would not have gone to New York at all when they did if jets had not first been flown into the towers.

That’s the right way to handle it. I know many of you think will think I’m crazy if I suggest choosing the Middle East as a tourist destination in defiance of terrorism. But that’s exactly what I’m doing. It isn’t really any more dangerous there than it is here. (Well, Iraq is more dangerous, but I’m not suggesting Baghdad for your holiday.) Go to Cairo. Go to Beirut. Don’t go to Europe instead because you think you’ll be safer. You won’t be. You just won’t be. But Al Qaeda would like you to think that you would be.

Posted by Michael J. Totten at July 29, 2005 12:43 PM

Comments

You have to wonder how many of the Egyptians killed in Sharm el Sheik support terrorism against Israel, or support AQ's war against the West.

I wouldn't spend a dime in a muslim country knowing that a substantial percentage of them have no problem with terrorism as long as it doesn't affect their own pocketbooks. The pocketbook is the surest and best way to get muslims themselves to start cleaning their own house.

Posted by: spaniard at July 29, 2005 04:38 PM

Spaniard,

You're willing to help the Islamists destroy the tourism industry?

Posted by: Michael J. Totten at July 29, 2005 05:39 PM

That's the ticket, Spaniard! Now that people like you can't spit on the Jews, why not just dig up some old anti-Semitic bigotry, and apply it to a different group of people?

You know, castigating an entire group of people by saying they only thing they care about is their pocketbook?

You have any hook noses in that bag of tricks of yours, too?

Posted by: The Commenter at July 29, 2005 05:40 PM

not as big a shift as you indicate, commenter.
Arabs are semites too....

Posted by: at July 29, 2005 05:48 PM

Great point, nameless commenter!

Posted by: The Commenter at July 29, 2005 05:51 PM

You have to wonder how many of the Brits killed in the London subway bombings support the war in Iraq, or support Bush's "war on terror".

I wouldn't spend a dime in a western country knowing that a substantial percentage of them have no problem with the slaughter of innocent civilians as long as it doesn't affect their own pocketbooks. The pocketbook is the surest and best way to get Americans and the British themselves to start cleaning their own house.

Posted by: mexican at July 29, 2005 05:58 PM

Michael - I'm sorry but I must disagree with the fundamental point of your post. Westerners choosing major Western cities as vacation destinations are more or less like targets on a (western) dartboard. It doesn't matter where you're sitting on the (western) dartboard because any hit on the dartboard scores points, which means(speaking as a tiny point on the western dartboard) that your chances of being hit are very small. But in the ME or any spot representing some degree of hostility to westerners, the concept of the dartboard gets a little more refined. It might be fair to say that one is relocating to a ME dartboard. (Caveat here: I'm not a dartboard player but I've seen the tournaments on TV!) The "dartboarders" (is there an official name for these guys?) in the ME know precisely where to strike to score the most points on this hypothetical ME dartboard. It looks to be around the 20 or so as far as I can casually tell by flipping through the cable channels. The point being that a westerner going to a well known ME resort town is basically heading to the "20" on the (ME) dartboard and it's difficult to fathom that this is somehow equivalent (from a risk perspective) to wandering around the entire western dartboard. But then, that's just me. And of course, Michael, you've suggested before that I need to get out of the house more. So maybe this would be a good time to head down to the local bar and try my hand at darts...

Posted by: Caroline at July 29, 2005 06:39 PM

Mexican: "I wouldn't spend a dime in a western country knowing that a substantial percentage of them have no problem with the slaughter of innocent civilians as long as it doesn't affect their own pocketbooks. The pocketbook is the surest and best way to get Americans and the British themselves to start cleaning their own house"

Last time I checked Mexican, Mexico was in the west. And I haven't noticed lately Mexicans on the whole having a problem with working illegally in the US and then sending most of their money back to Mexico, thereby propping up the Mexican economy in lieu of "cleaning their own house", as you so eloquently put it. Of course, if I have misread sarcasm in your post, by all means correct me.

Posted by: Caroline at July 29, 2005 08:17 PM

Caroline,

Good points. Still, I'll be going back to the Middle East later this year. I'm not worried. (For one thing, I won't be staying in fancy resorts.)

Posted by: Michael J. Totten at July 29, 2005 10:05 PM

You're willing to help the Islamists destroy the tourism industry?

Michael,

I couldn't care less about their tourist industry if they couldn't care less about terrorism.

They let these jihadis thrive in their midst, they let hate be preached from their mosques, so let them reap what they sow.

When terrorism starts to affect their own pocketbooks then maybe they'll start to actually turn against that scourge instead of tolerating it. There is no better way to get the average muslim to take terrorism seriously than to withhold our dollars.

Posted by: spaniard at July 29, 2005 11:19 PM

The pocketbook is the surest and best way to get Americans and the British themselves to start cleaning their own house.

Mexican:

it's not your pocketbook that I object to, and you should definitely withold your pesos if you object to British dirty houses.

Unfortunately, when muslims object to our dirty house, they don't withhold their riyals, they bomb our subways.

Posted by: spaniard at July 29, 2005 11:29 PM

the problem is not just tourism but oil. Such a thing would work in lebanon and egypt, but could it work in Arabia proper?
I also have a question (and it is not to be sarcastic, but very sincere): if iraq turns into a "theocracy" what is the next plan of action? I say wait and see because we have unfortunately equated theocracy with terrorism (with good reason). People are already arguing that that proves the WOT was lost but then i started thinking: if Hussein got caught and taken over by his own people and without US help(like GB I had hoped), wouldn't theocracy have been the result? Or civil war?

Posted by: Rachel at July 30, 2005 06:14 AM

Very interesting column, Michael. I've often wondered about how people manage to get on busses in Israel, but obviously busses are not blown up every day in Israel. For the most part, life goes on, and ordinary people have to live it. I would only add, in response to some of the dumber comments above (e.g., Mexican), that it is precisely ordinary people who are most hurt by terrorism. The World Trade Center seemed to the plane hijackers an imposing symbol of Western culture, but in the end it was ordinary people, working, supporting families, trying to keep a roof over their heads, who were killed there. The same in London recently and also in Egypt, not to forget Baghdad.

Posted by: goethe girl at July 30, 2005 09:18 AM

We are being so had:

Mohammad Naseem, the chairman of the city’s [London] central mosque, called Tony Blair a “liar” and “unreliable witness” and questioned whether CCTV footage issued of the suspected bombers was of the perpetrators. He said that Muslims “all over the world have never heard of an organisation called al-Qa’eda”.

Mr Naseem is one of the most respected Muslims in the city and is considered a moderate. He has regular meetings with the chief constable to discuss religious harmony.

To the obvious embarrassment of council officials and police standing next to him, Mr Naseem said the Government and security services “were not to be relied upon”.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml;jsessionid=NX5XDCCQTYPRJQFIQMGSNAGAVCBQWJVC?xml=/news/2005/07/28/nas28.xml

Posted by: spaniard at July 30, 2005 09:22 AM

Michael, both Woody and I are glad to see you back in business, we had similar problems not too long ago getting the security code up (I can't speak for Woody in most areas, but this one is a safe bet).

This is an excellent post by the way, I'll link to it in my post: The Fools Around Us May Be Nigh The Death Of Us Your post underscores that the war on terrorists and terrorism is not just a shooting battle, but a war of ideas and has more tenticles than a nautilus.

Had I the money, I would be well on my way to Egypt or Lebanon or maybe even Jordan.

Great post!

Posted by: GM Roper at July 30, 2005 09:33 AM

A guy I know booked a trip to Egypt with his wife after the attack at Luxor, because he knew it'd thin out the targets and he could scoop up hotels and flights for cheap. He was right.

Posted by: Moonbat_One at July 30, 2005 12:17 PM

[Hillary] does manage to occupy both the left and the center at the same time.

Her 2004 rating from Americans for Democratic Action was 95 out of a possible 100, as was her 2003 rating. She is not one of the seven Democrat Senators to agree not to filibuster the President's judicial nominees (except in "extraordinary circumstances"). I think that your definition of the center may be somewhat different from mine.

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