Michael J. Totten: Third Wave Gentrification

June 23, 2005

Third Wave Gentrification

My new Tech Central Station column is up. I departed a bit from my usual material and dabbled a bit in futurism instead, inspired – ironically – by a trip to one of the more backward places in the country.

Posted by Michael J. Totten at June 23, 2005 10:27 AM

Comments

I guess we'll see. Part of what you're talking about is already taking place with exurbia -- places like Medford/Ashland, Oregon. Medford has experienced a sharp rise in house sales because retirees are going there. Today's migrants aren't tech workers as much as they're older people trying to get more value out of their fixed pension dollars.

As to whether or not tiny, out-of-the-way towns will be reinvigorated by untethered Internet workers, it's hard to say. No matter how cheap it might be in Half.com, it's bound to be ten times cheaper in India somewhere -- or China, or Ukraine, or Russia, etc.

In the next few months I expect to be leaving California for New England, to live in work in the Concord area. After that, my wife and I want to raise our daughter in exurbia somewhere -- perhaps Medford.

Hanging out in Medford with friends made me realize that the sticks aren't the sticks anymore. The internet and pervasive media of our time makes it harder to be Gomer Pyle living on possum and frogs legs, playing a one-stringed banjo. That's good news, albeit at the expense of something cultural in the nooks and crannies of our nation. But so be it. Cities are overrated, and by far, over valued.

Posted by: Marcus Cicero at June 23, 2005 11:49 AM

Marcus,

Rather than Medford, I would suggest Hood River, Oregon. It is a one-hour drive from Portland and it's a MUCH nicer place. I don't know what it costs to live there, but it can't be as much as the city.

Come on up some time and I'll give you a tour.

Posted by: Michael J. Totten at June 23, 2005 11:53 AM

Futurism is fun! I did a little AI piece that got Instalanched a few weeks ago.

I'm in a little piece of exurbia heaven called Vernon Hills, IL myself. It's about an hour from Chicago, in Lake County. My little community is a beautifully landscaped conglomeration of townhouse/condo associations, surrounded by state park forests and fields.

Posted by: TallDave at June 23, 2005 12:18 PM

Hey, this is great Michael, I've had the same thought (though without the factual underpinnings and research, of course). I do think this will do great things for the landscape and society - obvious results like less commuting (therefore less stress, pollution, obesity, etc) and then other things going along with the idea of rebuilding small towns. People will be spending their time with their neighbors instead of their coworkers - community will become geographically reinforced, social problems will be less abstract and more personalized so people will take more responsibility for them, the local environment will become an even higher priority, local civic participation could benefit, inclusive secular community centers and activities could replace specialized groups like churches as common bonds for local populations - creating more moderation and tolerance, people would demand arts and culture in their small towns instead of allowing them to retreat to the cities... the list could go on. Anyway, I'm excited

Posted by: Nate at June 23, 2005 01:10 PM

In the next few months I expect to be leaving California for New England, to live in work in the Concord area.

Concord NH or Concord MA? The latter is hardly cheaper than California.

Rural America is incredibly empty these days; driving from coast to coast is an eye opener in this regard. However, I don't think the countryside will fill up with retirees anytime soon, despite the low prices, because medical facilities are lacking. Throw in the lack of schools, and I don't see young families moving there either. So I think what will happen is the slow expansion of the exurbs around cities, where hospitals, schools, and shopping are never far away.

When the population gets up around 1 Billion, things will be different. Thank God we aren't there yet.

Posted by: chuck at June 23, 2005 03:45 PM

Oh man, that Costa Rica gig sounds like the life. Plus, the living overhead is probably a lot lower there, too, versus most metro areas in the States.

I wonder there must be a certain level of seniority one must attain before being considered for telecommute work. I've looked (while only a bit) but those types of positions don't seem to be growing on trees.

It won't be long before the infrastructure and credibility is better, though.

Granted when provided geographic freedom, most telecommuters aren't going to be moving to Kansas to get away from it all.

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